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                                                               IAF and asymmetric war
 


By Sharad Dixit

 


Eighth of October, The Air Force Day, approaches again. The ceremonials planned had been grand. Events of Black Tuesday’ however, cast a shadow. The preoccupation of much of the world with possible repercussions caused the cancellation of the proposed ‘Fleet Review, a-la the Navy. Celebrations nevertheless would proceed as normal, with much painting of trees and towns - red invariably.

The occasion could also be one of introspection, of assessing where we have been and are headed. Of our objectives, our capabilities, our plans and their compatibility.

We read much about our modernisation - the SU-30, The MiG- 21 upgrade, development of missiles, fighter aircraft, helicopters, un-manned vehicles, communication systems and a plethora of gizmos. We also hear of acquisitions including mid- air refueling capability, Airborne Warning And Control System (AWACS) or its variants, jet trainers, long-range radars, anti- missile systems etc.

Despite our complaints of lack of resources, we are sinking a lot of money into military hardware, its development and acquisition. The specifics of military spending, however, is not the focus here. It is a glance at our concept of war in the foreseeable future.

The dominance of ideas/ideals propagated by the elite - be it national or international - is widely accepted. So it is in the field of warfare. The more publicised recent conflicts (Korea onwards) have all involved the US and other developed nations. Other conflicts though more savage, bizarre and unrelenting have got less footage for want of an affluent media. The concepts that have evolved from the ‘Ware with Fanfare, invariably highlight ‘Human Rights,’ ‘Innocent Civilians’, ‘Collateral Damage’ etc. This is because the military and intellectual elite of the developed nations would like us (the third world) to fight future battles on their terms.

The explanation lies in the societal organisation of the developed capitalist countries. The states are ruled not by the Bushes and the Blairs. Nor are they ruled by the people. The power lies with the major corporations whose representatives form governments and pursue their economic interests.

These would not always coincide with the interests of tranquility and stability. Wars are lucrative business. Witness the killings made by several petrol pump owners in the wake of the WTC bombings, The claims on governments by airlines and insurance companies, the uncertainty in the oil market and of course the machinations of the wily Musharraf, who has already manoeuvred sanctions, has been promised aid, gained importance as the sole interlocutor and marginalized India while grossly multiplying the threat to the latter.

The people in the rich nations however, are not power-less. Public opinion and the Justice System are effective checks on the wilder schemes. Thus the loss of their military personnel in distant lands for unknown causes is no longer acceptable. They are not really interested whether sub-human multitudes in places with unpronounceable names massacre each other or not. Remember President Bush during his election campaign? He did not know who India’s PM or his counterpart in Pakistan was. Hence the compulsion of the US (in particular) to fight antiseptic wars. Their concept as verbalised recently was ‘'to launch a $2 million missile to destroy a ten dollar tent and kill a camel". They cannot justify human losses. The projection of Humanity’ and avoidance of ‘Collateral Damage’ follows. Naturally they expect the victims to mimic the same route and get slaughtered.

‘Human Rights’ are similarly eulogised. There is much talk of Iraqi children not having private toilets or a tap in their house. Legalities of holding criminals and terrorists are debated. ‘Proof’ is sought to question subversives. It would be impossible to explain the dichotomy to children in India or Bangla Desh, who have no house, let alone access to drinking water.

Some in the Third World have recognised this. They send shivers down rich spines. Saddam terrorised the West with, hostages meant to create human shields. He threatened Chemical and Biological warfare. He pursued Ecological Warfare while setting Kuwaiti oil wells afire. Terrorism was an official policy of the government, enunciated by Tariq Aziz. Milosevic neutralised all the allied plans by bribing a French official and anticipating attacks. He embarrassed the US hugely by colluding with China to send disinformation regarding the Chinese consulate. The US is still paying in diplomatic terms for its faux pas of bombing the (empty) building.

He esculated the war in Kosovo the moment coalition attacks began, creating a nightmare of disaster control.

The premise therefore is that war cannot be ‘partial’. Each side must fight as beet as it can. With the weapons it has on terms of its choosing, at the time and place of its choosing. India needs to recognise this. The jargon is ‘Asymmetric Warfare’. We have suffered for decades at the hands of sponsored terrorists, indigenous dissidents and plain crooks. The enemy loses little as he is financed by narco-terror that costs him nothing, Indian finances diverted through coercion/subversion of government servants and politicians, and by extortion. The governments lose little as the casualties do not form a substantial vote bank. Individuals in power can be won over through a host of delightful means. The loss is inevitably the Services’, and the common man’s.

Future wars that we may expect would not be W.W.-II types with an identified enemy. We would need to fight unconventional ware with appropriate responses, or rather initiatives. Modern third world combat trends exploit society. They claim the benefits while undermining its structure. The culpability cannot then be restricted only to those physically acting. The ideologues, promoters, harbourers, beneficiaries and even accessories who fail to report anti-national activities must be severely punished. The state must not indulge this criminal element by housing and feeding it for years at public expense. Else every poor man may find this a convenient method for comfortable survival.

The IAF must redefine its role in this context. The creation of a monolithic monster that is meant to serve its Personnel, Administrative, Logistical and other supporting staff must be replaced by an effective, lean, mean fighting machine. Quantity must be replaced by quality and synergy. Weapon systems should of course be capable of dealing with the conventional threat.- Their efficacy however must be ensured through the creation of the necessary infrastructure, maintaining the volume and quality of manpower required, devolving power rather than centralising, and most importantly, acquiring task specific weapons. The doctrine must be reviewed to make it decisively offensive. We must not need weeks to react in support of the Army in future Kargils. We must be able to act punitively, perhaps more importantly, in non-conventional situations. This would require specialist weapons and critically, the political resolve to accept ‘Collateral Damage,. This would never be acceptable to devious politicians.

The resolve therefore will have to be forcibly extracted through aggressive persuasion, coercion and punishment of individuals reluctant to act decisively, willing to sacrifice the law abiding, the conscientious and the duty-bound to expediency.

The IAF has weathered many storm. It has the best wishes of the people of this country- well, many of them anyway. We ardently wish that it forces issues and creates a resurgent culture that would best serve the nation.
PTI Feature

India must be on its guard

By H L Kapoor

The United States of America has declared war on terrorism. The killing of 7,000 people and destruction and demolition of the World Trade Towers and part of the Pentagon were acts of unprecedented terrorist crime. The US is consolidating its position and seeking support from friendly countries to tackle terrorism. It is expected to strike as soon as Osama bin Laden's whereabouts in Afghanistan are pinpointed. On the other hand, Afghanistan under Taliban has spoken in unequivocal terms of waging a "Jehad" (holy war) against USA, if it goes ahead with retaliatory strikes against its people.

Before a month was out, a suicide bomber of Pak-based Jaish-e-Mohammad blew himself up at the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly building. The attack has taken a toll of over 30 people, including 14 security personnel.

Tension is building up with every passing moment. In case of conflict, India has reasons to fear wore attacks and cannot lower its guard. It will have to remain in a state of complete preparedness and there cannot be any room for complacency. While the Army, which is the backbone of the country's defence, is expected to assume responsibility along the borders, the police and other paramilitary forces must prepare themselves to maintain internal security and law and order so that anti-national forces do not exploit the situation.

Our top priority should be protection of vital installations throughout the country. These include our nuclear plants, dams, water reservoirs, power houses, telecommunication systems etc. The Central Secretariat, Rashtrapati Bhawan, Prime Minister's House and the Parliament building are some of the places which need special protection, apart from the security of the WIPs.

Likewise, State capitals throughout the country should be on the priority list of respective Governments to ensure proper communication systems on the spur of the moment with the Centre and their counterparts in various states.

Water resources must be continuously kept under watch. Anti-national elements usually destroy the reservoirs to create chaos or mix poisonous substances in water to cause maximum damage. Terrorists trained and armed by Pakistan's ISI are hellbent on killing innocent people to create a serious situation in the country.

We are already facing a proxy war at the hands of Pakistan. Those arrested have not hidden the fact of Pakistan's complicity. There are credible reports that top military officials have been responsible for training terrorist outfits to undertake subversive operations against India.

Terrorists main objective is to aid and abet anti-nationals, help secessionists, create disorder, kill innocent people and generate a fear psychosis. They are also intent on disintegrating the country, creating communal disturbances by damaging religious places or by killing members of a particular community. They have been indulging in kidnapping of important people.

Historical places like the Red Fort, Jama Masjid, Taj Mahal, some gurdwaras in Amritsar, Anandpur Sahib, Paonta Sahib; Sisganj and Rakabganj gurdwaras in Delhi as well as Durgiana temple in Amritsar are targets of the terrorists. Some of the churches are also on their list.

Important dams like Bhakra Nangal and bridges too call for vigil. Other places on their list are airports, fire stations, police headquarters, hospitals and high - rise building, including that of newspaper offices throughout the country.

Religious fanatics are at the forefront of this campaign. It is of utmost importance that the potential communal agitators are kept under watch as also the anti-social elements. Minority communities authorities and ambulance vans must be kept on maximum alert to provide prompt medical aid to the affected people.

The causes behind communal disturbances must be carefully studies. To combat such disturbances, police ought to know the factors responsible for these. Any incidents, howsoever innocuous looking, involving members of different communities, must be attended to at a senior level from the very beginning. Communal tensions usually erupt from objectionable speeches and writing, dispute over places of worships and their desecration.

The intelligence machinery must be geared up. Collection of intelligence through under-cover sources and information about the plans of subversive elements is the prerequisite for any successful operation.

Terrorist outfits in the name of Jehad have been able to enlist the support separatists. The Lashkar-i-Toiba found it easy to whip up communal trouble and create a sense of insecurity. L-e-T terrorists are more sophisticated in their training and as such more ruthless. They are better armed and have set up their own intelligence network in the Valley to have an upper hand on Indian intelligence units.

It is, therefore, imperative that police and security forces should be armed with latest weaponry and their intelligence system be improved. It is a matter of serious concern and as such adequate measures need to be taken to counter the espionage and sabotage activities of outfits like Jaish-e-Mohammad and L.e.T in J&K.

Further, the intelligence agencies must work in unison. None of these should try to eclipse the other. Terrorists and subversives are trained by vested interests to create chaos in big cities and State capitals. They choose such areas, as it is easier to whip up communal trouble there.

Terrorists usually buy information and with the help of their chosen people mix with ordinary folks for sometime before implementing their nefarious plans. It will be imperative to keep an eye on potential trouble - makers. Their list should be ready with the police. And all places like hotels, sarais, guest houses, houses of dancing girls etc. must be kept under constant vigilance. Well prepared is well armed.
-- CNF
 

Uploaded on 21-Jan-2006